November 14th: Real Estate Update

Keenan Coit, Coldwell Banker Distinctive Properties

Last Thursday, the real estate industry took a sigh of relief, as we saw the average 30 year rate plunge 60 basis points from 7.22% to 6.62%. How does this effect our real estate market locally?

For starters, it brings positive news into buyer's minds. The real estate market has been in a negative news onslaught for the past 4 months or so. This is the best argument we have to date that the worst times are behind us. I still believe rates will go up from here, but I don't foresee the wild increases like we've seen thus far.

The rate decreases help with buyer's affordability. At the local median price of $385,000, the total monthly payment including taxes and insurance at 7.22% would be around $2,885. At 6.62%, that payment is $2,735. That saving of $150/month translates into around $15,000 of buying power to potential home shoppers.

For sellers and owners, this news helps reassure us that we won't see our property values tank. As an owner myself, I can feel more confident about my home value as the interest rate news begins to shift to a more positive outlook.

In Mesa County

  • There are currently 585 active homes on the market in Mesa County. This is a 3% decrease compared to last week

  • The average sold price YTD $426,882 and the median sold price YTD is $385,00.

  • There have been 82 price reductions in the last 7 days.

  • The average DOM for the active homes is 64

NATIONAL MARKET UPDATE

The National Association of Realtors reports home price growth hit single digits in most markets, falling from 14% in Q2 to below 9% in Q3. The median existing single-family home price was up just 8.6% from the year before.

The Mortgage Bankers Association weekly survey showed demand for purchase mortgages rose a tick, the first gain for purchase applications in seven weeks, though they’re still down from a year ago.

The NAHB says Q3 saw a spike in active homebuyers, as 59% of prospective buyers went from the planning stages of homebuying and became “fully engaged in the buying process,” up from 46% in Q1.

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